First Base
Who's winning: Adrian Gonzalez (.269/.347/.500)
Who should be winning: Paul Goldschmidt (.299/.354/.521)
The 32-year old Gonzalez is having an underwhelming season for the (let's be honest) underwhelming 30-28 Dodgers, hitting only .269 when he is a career .293 hitter. His OBP and slugging are pretty much exactly where his career numbers are, but his BABIP is about 20 points below the MLB average, showing that he has hit either a lot of "at 'em" balls or the gross amount of shifts are working. Staying in the NL West, 2013 MVP snub Paul Goldschmidt is having a solid year for the 23-36 Diamondbacks, hitting .299 and slugging right around his career average (nowhere near last year's outstanding number of .551). Going into play as of 6/2, Goldy is tied for the NL lead in doubles (22) and hits (70). I honestly think that since the Dbacks are doing poorly and that Arizona is such a smaller market than LA, Goldy is being left out in the desert. Freddie Freeman is a hot step behind Goldschmidt, hitting .297 and slugging .512.
Second Base
Who's winning: Chase Utley (.320/.381/.517)
Who should be winning: Utley
In my mind, this race is wrapped up unless Chutley decides to try hitting righty until July. Of the top 5 vote-getters at 2nd base, Utley is the only one hitting above .300. Furthermore, of those same top 5 vote-getters (Utley, Gordon, Phillips, Rendon, Walker), there a 50 point gap between he and the next highest average (Dee Gordon's, .280). The 2014 Phillies are like a 1995 Cadillac - great back in their day, but there are just better options now. But Utley has proven that he is more than just an old Caddy; he has aged quite nicely and so far this season has managed to stay healthy and is tied with Goldschmidt for the NL lead in doubles with 22. In fact, if the season were to end today, he would beat his career averages in BA, OBP, and SLG%.
Shortstop
Who's winning: Troy Tulowitzki (.350/.450/.661)
Who should be winning: Tulowitzki
Okay I take back what I said about 2nd base being wrapped up. THIS is wrapped up. Tulowitzki should be starting for both sides in the ASG, that's how hot he is. He has been injury prone the last few years and we are finally seeing him play to his full potential, leading the NL in runs (45) and slugging, and leading the MLB in average, on-base percentage, and OPS.
From a shortstop. Shortstops aren't supposed to be great hitters - and a shortstop is leading the most important offensive categories. He's on pace to have career records in about every single offensive category, except strikeouts. He is the hottest player in the game right now.
I don't even know how to react to how good he is this year. |
Third Base
Who's winning: Nolan Arenado (.305/.333/.489)
Who should be winning: David Wright (.293/.340/.397)
This was about a coin flip for me, I had a really hard time picking between he and David Wright. Arenado had that crazy 28 game hitting streak earlier this year but he doesn't walk much (see the OBP) and hits for very little power, especially at Coors Field. He is a bright young star but I'd pick Captain America. David Wright is tied for the NL lead in hits with 70, but has a lower average (.293) and slugging percentage (.397). That said, it is a heck of a lot harder to slug in a place like Citi Field versus Coors Field. I really don't know. I'd go with the vet in David Wright.
Catcher
Who's winning: Yadier Molina (.309/.354/.448)
Who should be winning: Yadi
Molina has come into his element as a hitter these past few years, posting a .313 average since 2011 while his career average is .285. Molina's slugging is way up this year compared to his career .406 and, as always, his handling of the pitching staff is second to none, as proven by Wainwright's incredible start. Lynn, Miller, and Wacha are also having great years, all posting ERAs below 3.50. In my NL predictions post from a few months ago, I praised Molina for his leadership and intangibles. He deserves an MVP and plays the catching position right - he should be the All-Star.
Outfield
Who's winning: Charlie Blackmon (.310/.347/.512), Andrew McCutchen (.307/.427/.470), Ryan Braun (.327/.367/.595)
Who's winning: Charlie Blackmon (.310/.347/.512), Andrew McCutchen (.307/.427/.470), Ryan Braun (.327/.367/.595)
Who should be winning: Yasiel Puig (.347/.437/.618), Giancarlo Stanton (.311/.407/.612), Braun
Pains me to write those. We know Braun is a liar and a cheat and I hate him for it, but he's not alone. Nelson Cruz took on a suspension last year as well and I selected him to start at DH for the AL. Braun is having a great year for the surprise Brewers - his slugging percentage is right where it was in his 2011 MVP season and you can't say no to that average. Stanton is just a machine this year in terms of home runs and hitting with RISP (he leads the NL in home runs and RBI), but his average is so much higher than it has been in the past that he has become even more of a weapon. Before, he was basically a longball threat, but now he is a doubles threat, a singles threat, etc. Wherever you pitch it, he is lethal (so is his wardrobe - check out the arm sleeve on Memorial Day).
He has done so much for the Marlins that he deserves a start. And then we come to Puig. You all know I dislike Puig because of his attitude but there is no denying his skills. I wrote about him earlier in my Top 10 Under 25 post and he is having a heck of a year. The numbers agree. It hurts that 2 out of the 3 starters in the outfield are shady characters but the numbers do not lie.
Pitcher
Johnny Cueto (5-4, 1.68 ERA, .76 WHIP). I can see arguments for Wainwright and Grienke, but Cueto's stuff is just filthy.
He leads the MLB in K's (92), ERA (1.68), WHIP (.76 - wow), Batting average against (.151), complete games, and shutouts. The dude is earning his $10M salary this year and deserves the start despite his average record. When you lead in this many categories, you're doing something right.
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It's so filthy I want to reiterate how filthy it is with the Google definition of filthy. |
So there it is. Not a lot of arguing on my part except for the outfield. There are a lot of Rockies out there which goes in line with my NL West prediction post - they can hit the cover off the ball (first in the NL in team runs, hits, home runs), but pitching is shaky at best (2nd last in NL in ERA, last in K's), hence their 28-28 record. Honestly, if I were to make a call, I think the AL would win but Mike Matheny knows his stuff. I cannot wait for the ASG in the beautiful Target Field in Minnesota.
Hope your Monday was all you had hoped. Thanks for reading.
Hope your Monday was all you had hoped. Thanks for reading.
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